Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is a slight home favorite in a near pick-em, with Hunter Dobbins (3.60 ERA, a 4.42 FIP on a thin 40-inning sample) opposing a scuffling Andrew Painter (6.48 ERA, a 5.35 FIP, a 1.57 WHIP). The caveat: neither arm is trustworthy and the two bullpens are close (St. Louis 4.33, Philadelphia 4.41), so this is a spot to play small or pass.
📊 The numbers
Park & weather: Busch Stadium, a slightly pitcher-friendly park, open-air with no roof, warm summer evening game.
| Stat | Philadelphia Phillies | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Andrew Painter (RHP) | Hunter Dobbins (RHP) |
| SP ERA | 6.48 | 3.6 |
| SP WHIP | 1.57 | 1.3 |
| SP K/9 | 7.56 | 8.1 |
| SP FIP | 5.35 | 4.42 |
| Bullpen ERA (season) | 4.41 | 4.33 |
| Form (last 10) | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Run differential | 0 | -8 |
| Offense vs starter's hand (OPS) | .716 vs RHP | .697 vs RHP |
Our read: St. Louis is a slight home favorite in a near pick-em, with Hunter Dobbins (3.60 ERA, a 4.42 FIP on a thin 40-inning sample) opposing a scuffling Andrew Painter (6.48 ERA, a 5.35 FIP, a 1.57 WHIP). The caveat: neither arm is trustworthy and the two bullpens are close (St. Louis 4.33, Philadelphia 4.41), so this is a spot to play small or pass.
Top 3 picks
- 1Cardinals ML-112*Med
Home with the marginally better arm against a scuffling Painter.
- 2Under 9-107*Low
Two shaky starters, but a slightly pitcher-friendly park keeps the number honest.
- 3Phillies ML-106*Low
The near-pick-em price on the club with the better season record.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.