Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics
Tampa Bay is the far better team (plus-46, red hot at 8-2) against the league-worst Athletics (minus-164, 2-8, a 5.65 bullpen), but Freddy Peralta is a shaky favorite (5.37 ERA, a 4.66 FIP since a trade) against a barely worse Jacob Lopez (5.64 ERA, a 5.38 FIP). The caveat: Sutter Health Park is a hitter's yard and both arms are homer-prone, so the over has real appeal alongside the Rays' side.
📊 The numbers
Park & weather: Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, a hitter-friendly park, open-air with no roof, hot summer evening game.
| Stat | Tampa Bay Rays | Athletics |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Freddy Peralta (RHP) | Jacob Lopez (LHP) |
| SP ERA | 5.37 | 5.64 |
| SP WHIP | 1.52 | 1.63 |
| SP K/9 | 8.9 | 8.4 |
| SP FIP | 4.66 | 5.38 |
| Bullpen ERA (season) | 3.96 | 5.65 |
| Form (last 10) | 8-2 | 2-8 |
| Run differential | +46 | -164 |
| Offense vs starter's hand (OPS) | .683 vs LHP | .718 vs RHP |
Our read: Tampa Bay is the far better team (plus-46, red hot at 8-2) against the league-worst Athletics (minus-164, 2-8, a 5.65 bullpen), but Freddy Peralta is a shaky favorite (5.37 ERA, a 4.66 FIP since a trade) against a barely worse Jacob Lopez (5.64 ERA, a 5.38 FIP). The caveat: Sutter Health Park is a hitter's yard and both arms are homer-prone, so the over has real appeal alongside the Rays' side.
Top 3 picks
- 1Rays ML-161*Med
The far better team and red-hot form against a 2-8 club with the worst bullpen on the board.
- 2Over 10-107*Low
A hitter's park and two homer-prone arms combining for a 10-run number.
- 3Rays -1.5-103*Low
Near even money to win by two against a collapsing Athletics side.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.